Discussion:
Forecaster calls for 5 hurricanes in 2006
(too old to reply)
SON OF HARRY HOPE
2006-09-05 18:24:50 UTC
Permalink
MIAMI (UPI) -- A U.S. hurricane expert predicts a more average storm
season this year instead of the hyperactivity of recent years.

A team led by William Gray of Colorado State University expects 13
named storms and five hurricanes in 2006. Two of these will grow into
intense events with 110 mph winds, the forecasters say.

The seasonal averages over the past 40 years are 11 tropical storms,
six hurricanes and two intense hurricanes, the Miami Herald reported.

So far this year, there have been five named storms with only Ernesto
developing briefly into a hurricane.

Last year was different, producing a record 28 named storms and 15
hurricanes, seven of them including Katrina and Wilma intense.

Foreign powers do not seem to appreciate the true character of our
government.
--James K. Polk (1795-1849) US President (11)
Grendel
2006-09-05 18:59:04 UTC
Permalink
Post by SON OF HARRY HOPE
MIAMI (UPI) -- A U.S. hurricane expert predicts a more average storm
season this year instead of the hyperactivity of recent years.
Wow, the hurricane is half over with only one half-assed 15 minute
hurricane and this expert 'predicts' that we will have 'a more average
storm season'.

Damn, but his powers of prophecy are just downright amazing.

Next he'll be predicting that it will get dark when the sun goes down.

Why doesn't he just tell the truth and state, "I don't know what the
fuck I'm doing!".

Yol Bolsun,
Grendel.

"Stupidity is not necessarily punishable by violence. Although, there
are days when I wish it were."-Solomon Short.
w***@ireland.com
2006-09-06 16:04:30 UTC
Permalink
Post by Grendel
Post by SON OF HARRY HOPE
MIAMI (UPI) -- A U.S. hurricane expert predicts a more average storm
season this year instead of the hyperactivity of recent years.
Wow, the hurricane is half over with only one half-assed 15 minute
hurricane and this expert 'predicts' that we will have 'a more average
storm season'.
Damn, but his powers of prophecy are just downright amazing.
Next he'll be predicting that it will get dark when the sun goes down.
Why doesn't he just tell the truth and state, "I don't know what the
fuck I'm doing!".
Yol Bolsun,
Grendel.
The season isn't over yet. You might want to take a look at the
Pacific where a huge year for hurricanes is shaping up.

WB Yeats
w***@bellsouth.net
2006-09-06 16:34:31 UTC
Permalink
Post by w***@ireland.com
Post by Grendel
Post by SON OF HARRY HOPE
MIAMI (UPI) -- A U.S. hurricane expert predicts a more average storm
season this year instead of the hyperactivity of recent years.
Wow, the hurricane is half over with only one half-assed 15 minute
hurricane and this expert 'predicts' that we will have 'a more average
storm season'.
Damn, but his powers of prophecy are just downright amazing.
Next he'll be predicting that it will get dark when the sun goes down.
Why doesn't he just tell the truth and state, "I don't know what the
fuck I'm doing!".
Yol Bolsun,
Grendel.
The season isn't over yet. You might want to take a look at the
Pacific where a huge year for hurricanes is shaping up.
WB Yeats
Typical, facts don't back up argument, change the argument.

The predictions being discussed are those by William M. Gray,
'Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Science' of Department of
Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University. All of his
predictions and forcasts (if you'd care to look them up) only concern
the Atlantic storm season.

As I recall, ALL the forcasts for the Atlantic showed a FAR ABOVE
AVERAGE number of storms.

It's aint been so.

Gray DOES mention the pacific, but only in passing, and get's it wrong.
Gray's own forcast from APRIL stated, "cool Pacific waters and an
abnormally warm Atlantic."

Maybe he want's to revise that one, too.


But, please, show me a typhoon forcast that anticipated more and
stronger storms in the Pacific.

The ones I've found have stated:

"TSR (Tropical Storm Risk consortium) anticipates the 2006 Northwest
Pacific typhoon season will see activity close to average." -7th March
2006 (this was updated in May to read 'slightly above average')

Yol Bolsun,
Grendel.

"Have all the opinions you want. They're Free. Just don't confuse
them with reality."-Solomon Short.

Loading...